July 30th, 8:00 AM – No longer a potential tropical cyclone, the storm is now officially known as Tropical Storm Isaias. The intensity models have all increased and with about half of them showing Tropical Storm Isaias turning into a Hurricane. Fortunately, the current models have shifted back to the East reducing the probability of landfall in the US. It’s still best to be prepared. The National Hurricane Center has even stated “While this system could bring some rainfall and wind impacts to portions of Cuba and Florida …, it is too soon to determine the location and magnitude of those impacts.”
The current prediction models show only a small chance of Potential Tropical Cyclone 9 forming into Hurricane Isaias. Also, the cone of uncertainty is still fairly vague. In Florida, we have the potential for impact from Jacksonville to Miami as well as Tampa to Pensacola. Florida is in the center of the cone and anything could happen. While the best-case scenario is the storm being broken up by the mountains, any shift could change these models drastically. At this point, it is still too early to tell what will happen.